Candidate filing is sailing along with lots of states now having completed candidate filings. And other than an unfortunate performance by the Texas Democratic Party we are humming along.
Below the fold for details and once again go and take a look at the 2008 Race Tracker Wiki.
***I have included Cook PVI numbers where possible after blogger requests to do so!***
Lots of House races now have Democratic candidates that have bobbed up in the last week or so:
AL-02 – R+13,
CA-02 – R+13,
CO-05 – R+15.7,
IL-18 – R+5.5,
MO-08 – R+11,
NE-03 – R+23.6,
OR-02 – R+11,
UT-01 – R+26,
But one race goes to the uncontested in 2008 list:
AR-03 – R+11,
And one race comes off the list entirely!:
IL-14 – R+5 following Bill Foster’s superb special election victory last Saturday.
So 398 races filled! This of course includes 234 districts held by Democratic Congresscritters.
But we also have 164 GOP held districts with confirmed Democratic opponents.
So here is where we are at (GOP Districts):
Districts with confirmed candidates – 164
Districts with unconfirmed candidates – 1
Districts with rumoured candidates – 13
Districts without any candidates – 15
Filing closed – No Democratic candidate – 8
The GOP held districts with confirmed Democratic challengers are as follows:
AL-01 – R+12,
AL-02 – R+13,
AL-03 – R+4,
AL-04 – R+16,
AK-AL – R+14,
AZ-01 – R+2,
AZ-02 – R+9,
AZ-03 – R+6,
AZ-06 – R+12,
CA-02 – R+13,
CA-03 – R+7,
CA-04 – R+11,
CA-19 – R+10,
CA-21 – R+13,
CA-24 – R+5,
CA-25 – R+7,
CA-26 – R+4,
CA-40 – R+8,
CA-41 – R+9,
CA-42 – R+10,
CA-44 – R+6,
CA-45 – R+3,
CA-46 – R+6,
CA-48 – R+8,
CA-49 – R+10,
CA-50 – R+5,
CA-52 – R+9,
CO-04 – R+9,
CO-05 – R+15.7,
CO-06 – R+10,
CT-04 – D+5,
DE-AL – D+7,
FL-01 – R+19,
FL-04 – R+16,
FL-05 – R+5,
FL-07 – R+3,
FL-08 – R+3,
FL-09 – R+4,
FL-10 – D+1,
FL-12 – R+5,
FL-13 – R+4,
FL-14 – R+10,
FL-15 – R+4,
FL-18 – R+4,
FL-21 – R+6,
FL-24 – R+3,
FL-25 – R+4,
GA-01 – R+?,
GA-09 – R+?,
GA-10 – R+?,
ID-01 – R+19,
IL-06 – R+2.9,
IL-10 – D+4,
IL-11 – R+1.1,
IL-13 – R+5,
IL-15 – R+6,
IL-16 – R+4,
IL-18 – R+5.5,
IL-19 – R+8,
IN-03 – R+16,
IN-04 – R+17,
IN-05 – R+20,
IN-06 – R+11,
IA-04 – D+0,
IA-05 – R+8,
KS-01 – R+20,
KS-04 – R+12,
KY-01 – R+10,
KY-02 – R+12.9,
KY-04 – R+11.7,
LA-01 – R+18,
LA-04 – R+7,
LA-06 – R+7,
MD-01 – R+10,
MD-06 – R+13,
MI-02 – R+9,
MI-04 – R+3,
MI-07 – R+2,
MI-09 – R+0,
MI-11 – R+1.2,
MN-02 – R+2.7,
MN-03 – R+0.5,
MN-06 – R+5,
MO-02 – R+9,
MO-06 – R+5,
MO-07 – R+14,
MO-08 – R+11,
MO-09 – R+7,
MS-01 – R+10,
MS-03 – R+14,
MT-AL – R+11,
NE-01 – R+11,
NE-02 – R+9,
NE-03 – R+23.6,
NV-02 – R+8.2,
NV-03 – D+1,
NJ-03 – D+3.3,
NJ-04 – R+0.9,
NJ-05 – R+4,
NJ-07 – R+1,
NJ-11 – R+6,
NM-01 – D+2,
NM-02 – R+6,
NY-13 – D+1,
NY-23 – R+0.2,
NY-25 – D+3,
NY-26 – R+3,
NY-29 – R+5,
NC-03 – R+15,
NC-05 – R+15,
NC-06 – R+17,
NC-08 – R+3,
NC-09 – R+12,
NC-10 – R+15,
OH-01 – R+1,
OH-02 – R+13,
OH-03 – R+3,
OH-04 – R+14,
OH-05 – R+10,
OH-07 – R+6,
OH-08 – R+12,
OH-12 – R+0.7,
OH-14 – R+2,
OH-15 – R+1,
OH-16 – R+4,
OK-05 – R+12,
OR-02 – R+11,
PA-03 – R+2,
PA-05 – R+10,
PA-06 – D+2.2,
PA-09 – R+15,
PA-15 – D+2,
PA-16 – R+11,
PA-18 – R+2,
PA-19 – R+12,
SC-01 – R+10,
SC-02 – R+9,
TX-03 – R+17,
TX-04 – R+17,
TX-06 – R+15,
TX-07 – R+16,
TX-08 – R+20,
TX-10 – R+13,
TX-12 – R+14,
TX-13 – R+18,
TX-19 – R+25,
TX-24 – R+15,
TX-26 – R+12,
TX-31 – R+15,
TX-32 – R+11,
UT-01 – R+26,
VA-02 – R+5.9,
VA-04 – R+5,
VA-05 – R+6,
VA-06 – R+11,
VA-07 – R+11,
VA-10 – R+5,
VA-11 – R+1,
WA-04 – R+13,
WA-08 – D+2,
WV-02 – R+5,
WI-01 – R+2,
WI-06 – R+5,
WY-AL – R+19,
The following GOP held districts have a candidate that is expected to run but is yet to confirm:
WA-05 – R+7.1,
The following GOP held districts have rumoured candidates – please note that some of these “rumours” are extremely tenuous!
FL-06 – R+8,
GA-03 – R+?,
GA-06 – R+?,
GA-07 – R+?,
GA-11 – R+?,
NJ-02 – D+4.0,
NY-03 – D+2.1,
OK-03 – R+18,
OK-04 – R+13,
SC-04 – R+15,
TN-07 – R+12,
UT-03 – R+22,
VA-01 – R+9,
The following districts have not a single rumoured candidate:
AL-06 – R+25,
CA-22 – R+16,
ID-02 – R+19,
LA-05 – R+10,
LA-07 – R+7,
MI-03 – R+9,
MI-06 – R+2.3,
MI-08 – R+1.9,
MI-10 – R+4,
OK-01 – R+13,
SC-03 – R+14,
TN-01 – R+14,
TN-02 – R+11,
TN-03 – R+8,
WI-05 – R+12,
And last but not least the list I did not want to have to include.
The following Republicans will not have a Democratic opponent in 2008:
AR-03 – R+11,
KY-05 – R+8
TX-01 – R+17,
TX-02 – R+12,
TX-05 – R+16,
TX-11 – R+25,
TX-14 – R+14,
TX-21 – R+13,
Finally due praise to those states where we already have a full slate of house candidates – Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Vermont, West Virginia and Wyoming.
It is also interesting to note that we have only one race left to fill in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Florida, Idaho, Kentucky, New Jersey, New York, Utah, Virginia, Washington and Wisconsin. Thats 31 states with a full slate, and 12 states with one race to fill! That is more than 85% of the states with a full or nearly full slate of candidates 7.5 months before election day, an impressive feat indeed!
Please note that in some races others at the racetracker site have confirmed candidates that I haven’t. This is because to satisfy me a confirmed candidate has either filed with the FEC, The Sec of State or has an active campaign website, or even if they come and blog and say yep I am running. Others are not so rigorous.
It is also great to see candidates in AZ-06, CA-42, FL-12, LA-06, MS-03, VA-04, VA-06 and WI-06; 8 of 10 districts we did not contest in 2006! Of the other 2 TX-11 will again go uncontested whilst AL-06 does not currently have a Democratic candidate.
We were on track to beat the 425 races we contested in 2006 but with the Texas unfilled races it now seems unlikely.
*** Tips, rumours and what not in the comments please.***
Any idea if a Dem filed in CA-22?
Speaking of CA-22 what’d you make of former congressman Bill Thomas when he was in office? I’ve heard conflicting stories ranging from decently nice to being a real moron.
I like the new design on the race tracker WIKI.
One question: I get messages when a page changes; usually, it’s you that made the changes, which is fine. But I get them even if you didn’t change the page at all. Do you know why I get those?
Thanks
your category “states with only one race left to fill”. It still includes AR and KY, even though the filing deadline has passed and there is no possibility to fill these races.
pretty and can take 34 seats this election then we will be back to the 100 seat majority we had before the 1992 election.
Democrats:
Utah-3 Bennion L. Spencer
Isaho-2 Deborah Holmes
Republican:
Maine-2 John Frary
The California Secretary of State’s data as of 3/18 (11 AM) included a lot of pending stuff some of which might be dis-allowed. Pleasingly, Democrats were listed in 51 districts (including Conaway in CA-25); Republicans in 46.
We were not listed in CA-19 or CA-22.
The State, the Columbia SC newspaper, printed a list of party filings and it turns out that both Republicans and Democrats will have a full slate of House candidates for this cycle.
The Democrats are:
SC-1: Linda Ketner and Ben Frazier
SC-2: Blaine Lotz and Rob Miller
SC-3: Jane Dyer
SC-4: Bryan McCanless, Paul Corder, Ted Christian
Over at MyDD, a candidate for GA-7, Doug Heckman, was announced.
SC-3 and SC-4 fill vacancies on your list as does GA-7.
On to April including Tennessee, Alabama, and New Jersey by April 7. That is a large part of the remaining list.
Tennessee Democrats filed in all nine districts taking TN 1, TN 2, TN 3, and TN 7 off the board. The Secretary of State has the complete list.
Republicans did not file in TN-9 but Jake Ford (Harold’s neer do well brother) filed as an independent again and Steve Cohen has IIRC four opponents in the Democratic primary including Nikki Tinker who was Harold Ford’s chief of staff.